Euro analysis: EUR GBP and EUR AUD face critical levels

Summing up, I should note that the correlation between financial instruments is not a constant factor. So, it is recommended to use it not as an independent type of analysis when making decisions, but as a kind of filter. The combined charts of the AUD/USD and the EUR/USD show the areas where the EUR/USD is […]


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Euraud correlation

Summing up, I should note that the correlation between financial instruments is not a constant factor. So, it is recommended to use it not as an independent type of analysis when making decisions, but as a kind of filter. The combined charts of the AUD/USD and the EUR/USD show the areas where the EUR/USD is located on the lower Bollinger border with a period of 200, while the AUD/USD quotes cross the middle line of the indicator.

The upper table above shows that over one month the EUR/USD and GBP/USD had a very strong positive correlation of 0.95. This implies that when the EUR/USD rallies, the GBP/USD has also rallied 95% of the time. Over the past six months, the correlation was weaker (0.66), but in the long run (one year) the two currency pairs still have a strong correlation. In terms of volatility, this currency pair is quite noisy and volatile, which means that a tight stop strategy will not work, only a big stop strategy will work in this case, and only in conjunction with probability analysis. Volatile and noisy markets have their own hidden benefits, as they are better suited for shorter term trading, and for trading where the time frame is variable and flexible.

EURAUD Historical Price Performance

Hedging is most commonly employed in forex trading, as there are always negatively correlated currency pairs, whose trends are progressing in sync, but the direction is opposite. Let’s suppose your traded currency pair is the GBP/USD (British Pound and American Dollar). The US dollar is a special currency, as it affects the exchange rate of many world currencies.

Euraud correlation

To survive as a Forex trader, it is important to understand how different currency pairs move in relation to each other, as well as the influences other asset classes have upon Foreign Exchange. Learning about currency pair correlations can help you manage your risk better and understand what is driving price movements in a certain currency pair. Regardless of your primary trading strategy, having a firm grasp of correlations can greatly enhance your results. The EUR/AUD currency pair is a particularly interesting combination due to the geographical, economical and political ties between these two regions. The Australian economy is highly dependent on commodities so it has historically been affected by fluctuations in global growth and economic cycles.

Run and custom MT4 currency correlation indicators

Currency pair correlation is a measure of how one currency pair (for example EUR/USD) tends to move like another currency pair (for example GBP/USD). More generally, US dollar movements tend to link together all major pairs (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF). For example, the reason why USD/JPY and EUR/USD generally move in opposite directions is simply due to the US dollar factor. The dominant EUR/USD V EUR/AUD correlation at 59% translates to a double trade as EUR/USD and EUR/AUD.

Euraud correlation

In contrast, a hawkish monetary policy (contractionary policy) strengthens the currency. The above figure displays an updated correlation matrix, where the seven trading instruments listed above are compared. The correlation coefficient of more than 0.7 or less than -0.7 is significant, and Euraud correlation so it is highlighted. Make sure that the correlation table contains the currency trading instrument you need. The tool analyzes the first seven instruments in the “Market Watch”. This tool can analyze any trading instrument’s correlation with any other six ones provided by your broker.


Global economic cycles, fluid monetary policy and variance in commodity pricing can create favourable intraday and long-term trading circumstances. In addition, outlier events such as pandemics, brush fires and trade wars are capable of fostering unique market conditions in the EUR/AUD. Regardless of whether you are looking to diversify your positions or find alternate pairs to leverage your view, it is very important to be aware of the correlation between various currency pairs and their shifting trends.

FX next week: 14 currency pairs and USD/EM – FXStreet

FX next week: 14 currency pairs and USD/EM.

Posted: Thu, 20 Apr 2023 07:00:00 GMT [source]

The best way to keep current on the direction and strength of your correlation pairings is to calculate them yourself. Software helps quickly compute correlations for a large number of inputs. Mitrade does not issue advice, recommendations or opinion in relation to acquiring, holding or disposing of our products.

Trade More and Get Paid

This is powerful knowledge for all professional traders holding more than one currency pair in their trading accounts. Such knowledge helps traders diversify, hedge, or double up on profits. The Aussie can be influenced by several macroeconomic factors, such as the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) raising or lowering interest rates, GDP, employment figures, trade balance and inflation data. Rhetoric/comments from Australia’s central bank officials can also have a significant impact on the Aussie.

Less-traded pairs are called minor or exotic, and the pairs that do not include the US dollar are called cross-rates. With LiteFinance, you can trade more than sixty forex currency pairs, and this number satisfies all requests of traders. Let’s look at an example of such currency pairs like EUR/JPY (Euro and Japanese Yen) and AUD/JPY (Australian Dollar and Japanese Yen). Its strengthening on the market (price increase) will lead to the euro and the Australian dollar moving in the same direction synchronously. So there is a positive correlation between the euro and the Australian dollar. Often, closely tied economies have positively correlated currencies.

What affects the EUR USD pair?

The EUR/USD pair represents the number of US dollars required to buy a single euro. It is affected by government policies and the economics of demand and supply in currency markets for the pair.

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